Gold Increases in Value Due to Fed Interest Forecast for March 2022

1 min read

  • Gold prices rise after Fed policy decision
  • Yield Stabilization Supports Move Upward
  • Precious Metals Have Positive Year-End Outlook

During the week, gold prices received a timely boost with news that the Fed will tighten its economic policy in the coming year, as expected. In response, gold prices rose for the third straight day as the precious metal continued to rally. Treasury yields have stabilized as the dollar sells off slightly from its high point, which also contributes to staying near $1800. Gold and other precious metals traders can be optimistic that the positive momentum will continue with no major events on the horizon.

Gold gains from Hawkish Fed

Though some analysts have recently questioned the position of gold as a modern-day safe haven, it still does seem to be the case. Periods of uncertainty invariably bring traders back to buying gold and other precious metals as a store of value. This week, there was slight uncertainty leading into the two-day Fed policy meeting, though most in the market fairly presumed the Fed would tighten policy. This caution held gold prices higher through the early part of the week.

The news that Jerome Powell and US policymakers would indeed be accelerating the reduction of bond purchases with interest rate hikes to come in 2022 was in fact met by a relieved economy with mounting inflationary pressures. This has created a weakening of the Dollar which has made gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. This combination of events has seen the metal enjoy its best week of late.

Stabilizing yields to help the market move higher 

Another factor that has helped bring a positive week to the gold market, is the fact that US treasury yields have stabilized given the certainty that the policy movements have provided. While the overall market mood remains cautious, this has benefited precious metals as lower rates typically make them a more attractive investment.

Gold closed on its first positive week in the last 5 with the futures market moving above the $1800 mark after closing for the first time since the end of November. With no other significant economic data due for release, the news, particularly around the Omicron variant, and US jobless numbers which have continued to improve, will be key drivers for the market.

Metals Other Than Gold Also Benefit

It is not only the gold price that has picked up following the Fed announcement. Across the board, traders have seen an improvement in precious metal prices. Silver added 0.5% yesterday to trade over $22.50 before closing slightly lower while palladium added more than 3%.

Whilst still being well off its high point of the year, Palladium has battled back strongly of late. This market, in particular, is heavily reliant on auto production which has suffered in 2021 due to the chip shortage among other factors. A bounce-back toward the end of the year could fuel a higher move in 2022.

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